Weekly Update - How to Invest as Volatility Rises

+7.5% in a month in our newest Portfolio

Author

Tim Melvin
July 15, 2025

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Editor’s Note: Tim’s latest Premium-only update is here, where he discusses this morning’s monthly rebalance of the new “Hyperaccumulation” small-cap momentum portfolio, as well as the state of the economy and where to put your money. For instant access to the Hyperaccumulation Portfolio, two more portfolios, weekly videos, and more, upgrade to Premium here.

Yes, the Hyper Accumulation portfolio should have hit your inbox earlier this morning. It has been a month and the initial performance has been exactly as expected and maybe even a little better than that with a balanced portfolio returning about 7.5%.

Check your inbox for an email that covers the rebalance and highlights the new companies. No video this week, my apologies, but we’ll be back to our regular programming next week.

The U.S. economy continues to shift into a slower, more volatile expansion. After posting a mild contraction in the first quarter, real GDP is expected to grow at a modest pace just under 2% for the full year. The job market remains tight but is no longer overheating. Consumer confidence is teetering on uncertainty. And inflation, after a year of cooling, has begun to flicker again. Only this time, the pressure is not coming from wages or housing; it is being driven by tariffs and policy uncertainty. The administration's revived trade war has begun to bleed into pricing, supply chains, and sentiment. The Federal Reserve has stayed put for now, but rate cuts, once penciled in for summer, now look more likely to arrive in December, if at all.

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